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Geopolítica e Política

Lusa - Lusística - Mundial

Geopolítica e Política

Lusa - Lusística - Mundial

US Presidential Elections Forecast 2020

28.10.20 | Duarte Pacheco Pereira

Presidential Elections Forecast

First Inauguration of Donald Trump, on January 20, 2017.

 

 

Presidential Elections Forecast

 

My forecast relies on the historical data of the popular data in every state.

I can conclude that the algorithm’s forecast for 2020 that Trump will win with 78.43% probability. And the correction done increases the model accuracy to 80.39%.

 

By Engy Fouda at Medium on October 25, 2020.

 

 

Presidential Elections Forecast - 2 [700 × 500]

Engy Fouda's forecast for the 2016 elections.

 

Presidential Elections Forecast - 3 [700 × 500]

The actual 2016 elections results.

 

Presidential Elections Forecast - 2 [700 × 500]

Engy Fouda's forecast for the 2016 elections.

 

Presidential Elections Forecast ~ 4 [700 × 500]

Engy Fouda's forecast for the 2020 elections.

 

 

Original and comments here.

 

 

 

FIM