US Presidential Elections Forecast 2020
28.10.20 | Duarte Pacheco Pereira
First Inauguration of Donald Trump, on January 20, 2017.
Presidential Elections Forecast
My forecast relies on the historical data of the popular data in every state.
I can conclude that the algorithm’s forecast for 2020 that Trump will win with 78.43% probability. And the correction done increases the model accuracy to 80.39%.
By Engy Fouda at Medium on October 25, 2020.
![Presidential Elections Forecast - 2 [700 × 500]](https://fotos.web.sapo.io/i/G6c184b9f/21938740_Cr8Bv.jpeg "Presidential Elections Forecast - 2 [700 × 500]")
Engy Fouda's forecast for the 2016 elections.
![Presidential Elections Forecast - 3 [700 × 500]](https://fotos.web.sapo.io/i/Ge717f8a4/21938797_iYHoF.jpeg "Presidential Elections Forecast - 3 [700 × 500]")
The actual 2016 elections results.
Engy Fouda's forecast for the 2016 elections.
![Presidential Elections Forecast ~ 4 [700 × 500]](https://fotos.web.sapo.io/i/G9518f329/21938805_0NCoD.jpeg "Presidential Elections Forecast ~ 4 [700 × 500]")
Engy Fouda's forecast for the 2020 elections.
Original and comments here.
FIM